Performance Evaluation Method of Online Supply Chain Finance Logistics Enterprises Based on GARCH-VAR

In recent years, China’s core enterprises have been plagued by high operating costs, difficult bank loans, and other practical problems in the supply chain. As a new financing model emerged it has opened up markets finance logistics industry brought ideas vitality to all parties Since strengthening of supervision, operation gradually changed direction normalization. The study online loan interest rate fluctuation is helpful understand source characteristics risk, which important reference significance for Internet lending market. measurement risk can help monitor market time improve financial supervision. This paper takes under background supervision as research object, combining theoretical analysis empirical explore fluctuations reasons behind P2P loan, discusses business model. Based on influencing factors fluctuation, this analyzes main network from aspects trend interval distribution, regional distribution. adopts daily closing price data domestic R insurance company establish logarithmic return series stock prices. results show that (1) GARCH-VAR effectively reflect degree company; (2) company’s VAR showed first rise then slight decline, with highest 2018; (3) interpretation value should be combined indicators. increase net profit will also lead decline next period. this, countermeasures suggestions management are proposed companies.